Resources Research

Making local sense of food, urban growth, population and energy

India estimates 250 million tons of foodgrain for 2011-12

with 5 comments

India’s Ministry of Agriculture has released it ‘second advance estimates’ for the 2011-12 crop season. These estimates (usually four) are released from around September or October until the following monsoon has set in by July.

The rice target of 102 million tons (mt) is the same as it was for 2010-11. The second advance estimate for rice is 90.18 mt for ‘kharif’ (sown in monsoon, harvested in autumn), the highest ever advance estimate, and 102.75 mt in total (both ‘kharif’ and ‘rabi’, the winter crop). The second advance estimate for 2011-12 is almost 10 mt higher, for the rice kharif crop, than the second advance estimate for 2010-11. The total rice estimate for 2011-12 is more than 8 mt higher than the advance estimate for the total rice crop in 2010-11.

The 2011-12 second advance estimate for wheat is 88.31 mt, more than 4 mt above the 2011-12 target of 84 mt. The wheat second advance estimate is also more than 2 mt above the fourth advance estimate for the 2010-11 season, of 85.93 mt. Coarse cereals (jowar, bajra, maize, ragi, small millets and barley) has been since 2008-09 set targets of over 40mt – 42mt in 2008-09 (the harvest was 39.48 mt), 43.1 mt in 2009-10 (the harvest was 33.77 mt), 44 mt in 2010-11 (the harvest was 42.22 mt). The 2011-12 coarse cereals target is 42 mt and the second advance estimates for the year for coarse cereals is 42.08 mt).

Total cereals for 2011-12 is 233.14 mt in the second advance estimate, almost 10 mt above the fourth advance estimate of 2010-11 (which was 223.47), and above the 228 mt target for 2011-12. Total pulses for 2011-12 is 17.28 mt in the second advance estimate, just above the 17 mt target for the year. This is still under the 18.09 mt fourth advance estimate for the 2011-11 crop year.

[You can find a four year data set from 2008-09 onwards here (xlsx)]

Thus, total foodgrain for the 2011-12 crop year is placed at 250.42 mt in the second advance estimate, over 5 mt above the target for 2011-12 – and the first time the total foodgrain harvest has been estimated at 250 mt. In the three previous crop years total foodgrains was 241.56 mt in 2010-11, 218.20 mt in 2009-10, and 233.88 mt in 2008-09.

Written by makanaka

February 12, 2012 at 21:55

5 Responses

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  1. I’d to know the 2nd advance estimate for each item of pulses (e.g chana, tur, moong,urad etc.)

    Htut Khaung Kyaw Thu

    February 14, 2012 at 15:16

    • The data release has estimates for the following pulses: tur, gram, urad and moong. There is a link in the post to the excel file which has the data. Thanks, Rahul

      makanaka

      February 16, 2012 at 09:45

      • Dear Mr Rahul,

        Thanks for your reply. But I’ve not opened this link yet. So pl. reply for tur urad and moong.

        Htut Khaung Kyaw Thu

        February 20, 2012 at 14:52

      • Tur 2.72, Urad 1.73, Moong 1.72, total pulses 17.28 (all mt). The xls file will give you data back till 2008.

        makanaka

        February 20, 2012 at 15:22

  2. Dear Mr Rahul,

    Thanks a lot for your reply. I m a beans exporter from Myanmar. Whatever you need from my side, please let me know without hesitation.
    Do u have plan to come to Myanmar. If comes, pl. contact me.

    Htut Khaung.

    Htut Khaung Kyaw Thu

    February 21, 2012 at 14:18


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